Hot Or Not: What Food Trends Are Rising And Declining

Although September no longer means stocking up on value-priced three-ring-binder loose-leafed paper or the acquisition of an aluminum Scoobie Doo lunch box with matching thermos, I still feel that this month marks the end of old things and the beginning of the new. So in the spirit of endings and beginnings, I thought I’d do a round up of food trends – which are going up and which are losing steam. Note: This is pure opinion. There are no facts here. These views are personal, unscientific, highly biased and prime candidates for unfettered rebuttal.

Trends on The Rise

  • Gluten-Free: Muffins, cakes, pizza — this trend has been so strong for the past couple years and though I think it will soon crest, I don’t think it’s there yet. I still hear of new “gluten free” bakeries and brands popping up almost weekly. Though it’s hard to say what percentage of those who go gluten-free truly are “celiacs,” there is no question that many who cut out gluten claim to just “feel better.” There is also some evidence that the type of wheat grown today has much higher gluten levels than twenty five years ago.
  • Local: If for no other reason, people are realizing that buying food that was grown and picked the day before, from a farm 25 miles away, simply tastes better – not to mention the higher nutritional content because it hasn’t sat in a truck for three days.  More cities are demanding farmers markets and more are getting them.
  • The Elevation of Veggies: The trend of viewing veggies as more than just a “side act” is in part health-driven and in part because fresher seasonal vegetables are increasingly available.
  • Honey As The New Agave: I have seen two new bottled beverages in the past week, claiming “No Sugar!” and using honey instead (which is kind of misleading since honey is a form of “sugar” and like agave, large amounts will lead to all the same health problems and weight gain that sucrose excels at.)
  • Minimizing Grains/Starches: The Atkins days of “fear of grains” seem to be over, but there are still many people who have realized how quickly grains convert to glucose and how easy it is to over-consume grains and not feel full. I personally believe one of the quickest ways to drop a few pounds is to cut all starches  (even the brown ones) out of your diet for a week.
  • Juice Cleanses: Fasting for a day is more than most people can handle, but juice as a meal substitute here and there is pretty do-able and millions do it. There are several competing brands of juice cleanses out there (as well as the DIY option), and juice bars seem to continue to do a whopping business (with some serious price tags attached to the elixirs).
  • Embracing Saturated Fats: Saturated fat has been demonized as the “bad” fat. I personally think (from much research on this topic) that this is a unwarranted label, and there do seem to be more people (including health practitioners) embracing coconuts and coconut oil (pure saturated fat) along with eggs and even moderate levels of beef (both which contain significant amounts of saturated fat).  Watch for lard to become the trendy fat of 2012…

Trends Flattening or Ending

  • Bacon In Everything: Bacon will never go out of style – it’s the U2 of the food world, the Porsche, the trench coat…  but now that bacon has made its way into cookies and ice cream, where does it go from there?
  • Paleo:The Paleo diet is about eating quite a bit of meat/fish, significant levels of fat, veggies, a little bit of fruit and no grains or dairy. It’s quite “niche,” is more popular with men and I don’t believe will ever get a strong mainstream following.
  • Nose to Tail: It’s mainly a restaurant trend — serving pigs’ feet, say, along with the pork chops. This trend stems from both a respect for the animal as well as the feeling that there are less traditional parts of an animal that are perfectly edible and delicious. I fully support it, but I think its “novelty” appeal is waning.
  • Organic:  Don’t get me wrong on this one, I still choose organic for much of what I eat as do millions of others, but after a massive surge over the past twenty years coupled with the recession and job losses, I think people are being more discerning in what organic foods they buy. Unless organic prices come more into line with conventional, then I think there will always be a huge segment of the population that won’t touch organic.
  • Vegan: No meat, fish, eggs or dairy (in fact the strictest vegans won’t even eat honey). The trend’s been around long enough though, that I think those that want to “go vegan” have “gone vegan” meaning I’m not sure that it will continue to grow the way it has, though there will always be a following both for ethical as well as perceived health benefits.  (But am sure I will hear from those of you who think I am dead wrong! )
  • Lactose Free: The growth of “alt” milks (i.e. non dairy) over the past decade has skyrocketed (far exceeding the growth in cow’s milk sales), and for those who are truly lactose intolerant the demand will continue, but I think the massive growth of these “nut milks” is dissipating as fewer new entrants come onto the shelves.
Your turn to share your refreshingly personal, unabashedly biased views on trends…

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  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Gary-Rhine/100002012503121 Gary Rhine

    You have organic wrong.  An aging population understands and can afford the benefits of organic and will pay for it.

  • M C B

    Interesting perspectives… thanks for sharing, as always.  

  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Jules-Clancy/525804464 Jules Clancy

    great list!
    Bring on the rise of veggies and saturated fats I say

  • http://absolutlyfit.blogspot.com Laura

    I don’t necessarily have any additional insight, but just wanted to say how I love this post :)

    Oh – actually, I thought of something I’d like your take on. These are mostly very healthy trends (or at least trends for people who are trying to be health-conscious). What do you think about non-healthy food trends? For example, do you think restaurant portion sizes will continue to grow to provide more bang for the buck?

  • http://healthygirlskitchen.blogspot.com Wendy (Healthy Girl’s Kitchen)

    I have to say I think you are dead wrong about where you placed vegan. The information about the health benefits of a no-added-fat, whole foods, vegan diet are just starting to gain momentum. This is the tip of the iceberg.

  • http://www.everylittlethingblog.com Stacy @ Every Little Thing

    I think you’re spot on with a lot of these. Specifically, I have been buying about 75% organic for a couple years now, but recently have been finding myself going more local than organic. I feel that if I know where the food comes from and their farming practices, that I don’t necessarily need that organic label. I see that trend happening here in St. Louis bigtime (I’m also involved with Slow Food, so that helps bias my opinion haha).

    Interesting post!

  • es4d

    thank you again for such a wonderful post! my first comment is an addition to the “organic” downtrend. i think it is also becoming increasingly difficult for americans to avoid foods that are not organic. the definitions are crowded with ambiguity at best and what with monsanto making frankenfood out of virtually every thing they can get their claws on, organic as an option will become more challenging to exercise. i try for organic with as much as i can as well, but when monsanto controls everything and we don’t even get to vote on it – there are fewer and fewer choices. if the earth wants to thin out the herd by not providing enough food, then so be it. instead science is creating foods that make us sick and drugs to keep us alive.

  • http://www.cookinghealthyforme.com/ Ann

    Very interesting…I think you may be right on the money….

  • http://www.In-HomeCulinaryClasses.blogspot.com Vicki Bensinger

    Very Interesting comments.  I’m not familiar with Paleo so really can’t comment and I have seen bacon in everything lately.  On the one hand it sounds good and also disgusting to me.

    Trends on the Rise – I agree with you on most of those.  Without question I also feel better when I don’t eat bread of any kind, grains, or any type of starch.  Plus like you said, I lose weight.  I’m not sure about the juice cleansing and as for saturated fats, I will never give up my chocolate unless someone tells me it will definitely kill me.  Then it would still be hard.  A little fat is good and it satisfies so you don’t overeat.  That’s just my opinion.  I enjoyed your post.

  • Rick

    Surely nutrition balance and moderation are the keys. Fads rise and fall as they always have and likely always will.  Brave posting Michele!

  • Fred

    Yeah, I love chocolate too, but of course, if consumed in moderation (and is preferably organic) with NO refined, commercial (“white death”) sugar added.  Actually, if you research it and keep your proverbial ear to the ground, you will discover how research is making “real” chocolate the new darling of the nutrition world……especially as a brain food.  My favorite is Newan’s Own Organics Super Dark Chocolate 70% (cocoa)…really delicious for such a dark chocolate.

  • Fred

    A really enjoyable and informative article…thanks! As usual, you make a lot of sense. I did add a comment about chocolate as a “REPLY”  to Vicki Bensinger.

  • http://www.thefirstmess.com Laura

    Love this list! But disagree about the vegan thing a bit too. In my city, at least 5 vegan-centric businesses have opened in the last 6 months. Maybe a sign that it’s hit its peak? Either way, just from talking to people, it seems to be growing quite a bit. A lot of restaurants serving up meaty fare have embraced the vegan option too, so maybe the hype has waned.

  • http://shshh.tumblr.com/ cara lynne

    I don’t know about your placement of bacon, organic, and vegan. I run a vegan blog and I get messages from new converts literally every day. Vegan blogs are added to the general featured food blog directory on tumblr constantly. I don’t think organic will go out of style until food safety is totally ensured. I think I personally would rather eat local than organic, but they sort of go hand in hand for me. (I chose my CSA because it’s all organic.) As for bacon, it’s salty, greasy, and fatty, people always love that :p

  • http://savoringtoday.com Judy @Savoring Today

    Unfortunately, food is a lot like fashion — if the magazines tout it, folks follow it. So while I’d like to think your opinions here will play out because people would be healthier if so, however many follow too quickly rather than really understand the fad food choices. Although you didn’t mention it, my hope would be that we see a highlight on the effects of sugar and see a decline in refined sugar dishes. It seems like there is a movement going that way, at least the buzz about HFCS got the conversation started … we’ll see if it gets beyond that.

    Great post!

  • jmacncheese

    Great list. I am pescarian (fish, no meat) but have to acquiesce once each summer to a BLT with my homegrown lettuce. heirloom tomatoes and local nitrite-free bacon. So kill me.

    One more comment on vegans: though I think you are right, I expect people will consider it more mainstream and take the plunge since Bill Clinton did. (see Judy’s comment)

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_ZSP75JD4HLPHYJM7U5RQ4J3LKM Joe Almond

    I’d add Cheese as a massively surging trend. The explosion of artisanal cheese in America, and the popularity of cheese bars/restaurants/schools/magazines all testify to it.

  • http://www.grainfreegroupie.blogspot.com GrainFreeGroupie

    This is along the lines of saturated fats- but i am so happy to see the proliferation of coconut products- coconut flour, oil, butter, cream, sugar.  its delicious and quite a miraculous food. 

  • http://www.thesweetbeet.com Michelle Madden

    I agree, in fact I would expand this to say that the trend in ARTISINAL everything! is huge now. Ten yrs ago people would talk about “gourmet” food, now the catch phrase is “artisinal”…

  • http://www.thesweetbeet.com Michelle Madden

    I agree that there does seem to be a greater focus on cutting refined sugar, though what I also see is a lot of co’s replacing refined sugar in their products with honey, agave, grape juice concentrate, malt etc …. all which can spike your blood sugar just the same as old fashioned “sugar”.

  • http://www.thesweetbeet.com Michelle Madden

    Re your comment about choosing to eat local over organic — I 100% agree with you on this trend. I think there has been a major swing to realizing that just b/c a food is organic does not mean it is fresher or tastes any better (esp if it was picked a week before it’s sold!) Many local producers have also chosen not to get certified organic b/c of how watered down the term has become. And b/c the farmers are smaller scale, they tend to use less pesticide to begin with (if any) and use them more on a case by case basis as apposed to routine spraying.

  • http://www.thesweetbeet.com Michelle Madden

    Agree with the “accountability” part of local foods with far greater attention to this aspect especially in light of all the tainted foods (spinach, eggs etc) that we’ve seen in the last couple years. There is nothing like buying your eggs right from the farmer who literally picked them out of the hen house himself!

  • Farmrik

    As a farmer who sells at Farmer’s Markets, I can tell  your perspective on organic is spot on. While still enjoying popularity amongst the newbie’s and some baby boomers, it is far overshadowed by local. Here, in Calif, local is within 100 miles.

    Another trend losing ground also is soy. More and more customers are catching on to the fact that over 90% of all the soy consumed in the US is GMO soy. They are doing everything possible to avoid soy like the plague.

    Good post Michelle

  • Fred

    Hey there…..utt oh, we disagree on sumpt’n so it must be snowing in that famous Hot Spot!  Smiling, I did just want to pass along a few thoughts about your comment on the spiking of blood sugar. The GI (Glycemic Index) used to determine this spiking should be viewed with caution. For instance, white table sugar is 68 and honey is 55….no big deal. But, consider that a baked potato is 85 and watermelon is 72 (nutritiondata.self.com/topics/glycemic-index)!! So, the actual number is sorta relative and possibly misleading, especially if you eat other food with the food being measured.

    The “quality” of the sweetener, I believe, should be the measure of its benefit or detriment to us. Honey, especially raw and unfiltered, is a dynamo of valuable nutrients whereas white table sugar is “Refined Sugar:The Sweetest POISON Of All”…..the title of an article I did for my health website (you can let me know if you want the web address).

    Okay, I’m done.

  • Peacenique

    I agree:  white sugar is a poison.  I know the benefits of raw honey, and do buy it.  However, as a diabetic I limit it.  I try to use stevia as often as I can.  I’d like to see it used more in commercial products.  I understand that sugar-free Pepsi uses stevia in Japan.

  • Peacenique

    I agree with most of your predictions. 

    As I sat and read the article and comments I ate my lunch.  Totally vegan and mostly homegrown (and organic).  Sauteed: yellow zucchini, black krim tomatoes, rainbow swiss chard, store-bought onion, olive oil and Mrs. Dash.  I thought I might add an egg, or pasta, or beans, but decided to eat it plain.  Funny to have come across the article at that precise moment.

    I try to grow and preserve as much homegrown and local as possible.  I ~try~ to choose foods within that 100 mile diet.  (eg.  apples frown in Ontario rather than New Zealand).  I eat much less meat and dairy, but am not fully vegetarian.  I choose vegan meals fairly often.  I think of healthy for me, and healthy for the plant mostly.

    I don’t think veganism will fade.  I do think vegetarianism will flourish though.

    Bacon brownies?  YUCK!  Nose to tail?  I remember people saying they were having chicken lips and ___holes for supper!  LOL

  • Fred

    Kool….and stevia has its moments, if the right kind….so much off the wall stuff out there ‘n not really good fer you. Diabetics, I have never investigated…..hope all is well.  Nothing surprises me in Japan, sorta like California.

  • Hmhque

    I totally agree with a lot of what you propose and enjoyed your article very much!  I do hope Paleo doesn’t turn into just a fad though.  It has been the best way of eating in terms of feeling great I’ve ever tried (I am a woman, there are tons of women who eat this way, not just men).  Given that it’s theory components all fall within trends on the rise, I am wondering if what you really mean is that the terminology of calling it Paleo will go out of fashion?  If you take gluten-free (grain free even better), local unprocessed food, honey on a minimal basis, elevation of veggies in place of the grains (and meat too), and saturated fats, you’ve pretty much gotten to a Paleo or Primal diet.

  • http://www.thesweetbeet.com Michelle Madden

    I think you make a great point, which is that much of the way that Paleo has been perceived (which starts with the very name) is that it is all about heavy amounts of meat and fat (hence why I think it tends to be more popular with men), yet your point is a very good one – much of what Paleo recommends is excellent advice for good health for all of us – ie. no processed sugar, low/no grains, minimal dairy, significant levels of vegs, moderate fruit and the embracing of meat.

    So I agree with you, I think that much of what the movement purports is very positive and that some of the negative attitudes towards it and the male dominance of the movement is due in part to its perception.

    I also think for many, it reminds them too much of the Atkins diet which they view as a 90′s fad.

  • Smigrobustus

    Organic popularity has ALWAYS been misrepresented.  More and more organic farms closing.  The demand actually down……MOST people have a price point that they will not cross and most organics are just to expensive……..now, if the price comes down…ok.